TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 1:08 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Fluminense FC and EC Bahia, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fluminense FC" if Fluminense FC score more goals than EC Bahia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Fluminense FC and EC Bahia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "EC Bahia" if EC Bahia score more goals than Fluminense FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Fluminense FC and EC Bahia, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fluminense FC" if Fluminense FC score more goals than EC Bahia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Fluminense FC and EC Bahia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "EC Bahia" if EC Bahia score more goals than Fluminense FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on outcomes. This market allows traders to express their genuine expectations without the margin built into traditional sportsbook lines. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in pricing sports events, though sportsbook odds remain a useful reference point for comparing how different venues value the same outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of shares held in the pool, with prices updating continuously as new trades occur. Traders profit by buying shares they believe are underpriced and selling those they believe are overpriced. This mechanism ensures that prices converge toward true probabilities as more information becomes available and more capital flows into the market.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the Fluminense versus Bahia match concludes and the second-half result is verified. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded for the second half of the fixture. Resolution occurs after credible public reporting confirms the result, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on team news, betting patterns, and other signals that traders believe predict the eventual outcome.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before kickoff and during the match. Team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements often trigger significant moves. Betting patterns from sharp bettors and the broader public can signal confidence in particular outcomes. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form may also influence trader sentiment. Once the match begins, live performance—goals scored, red cards, momentum shifts—will drive real-time repricing as traders update their expectations for the final second-half result.