TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 1:08 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Fluminense FC and EC Bahia, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fluminense FC" if Fluminense FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "EC Bahia" if EC Bahia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Fluminense FC and EC Bahia, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fluminense FC" if Fluminense FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "EC Bahia" if EC Bahia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader belief and real-money commitment. This market aggregates the collective forecast of thousands of independent traders, which can sometimes outpace or contradict traditional sportsbook pricing, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal scorer is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Until that point, odds will fluctuate based on team news, injury reports, and live match events. Early goals, tactical shifts, or unexpected lineup changes can all move prices significantly. Traders monitor these signals closely to adjust positions before the final whistle.
Key catalysts include official team lineups, injury announcements, and weather conditions at match time. Tactical changes—such as a shift to attacking formation or defensive setup—can reshape expectations about which side scores first. Live match events like early chances, fouls, or substitutions will trigger sharp repricing as traders react to unfolding play. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or sudden shifts in betting patterns can also accelerate price movement. Monitor team news and social sentiment for early signals that might shift the odds before kickoff.