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Florida vs Texas: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Florida vs Texas?

Volume:
$3,231,562

Florida wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Florida wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 3:25 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Florida wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120,269
N/A
N/A
$73,920
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,010
N/A
N/A
$40,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$673,618
N/A
N/A
$520,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$298,686
N/A
N/A
$207,966
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255,068
N/A
N/A
$201,175
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196,813
N/A
N/A
$133,059
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$163,309
N/A
N/A
$123,406
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124,067
N/A
N/A
$73,013
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105,019
N/A
N/A
$81,642
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$102,845
N/A
N/A
$61,061
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101,306
N/A
N/A
$46,240
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 16.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,083
N/A
N/A
$67,838
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,368
N/A
N/A
$72,595
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,980
N/A
N/A
$54,318
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86,706
N/A
N/A
$64,266
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 21.5 points

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,583
N/A
N/A
$54,243
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,241
N/A
N/A
$46,686
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,359
N/A
N/A
$52,738
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,105
N/A
N/A
$39,187
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,811
N/A
N/A
$36,043
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,196
N/A
N/A
$32,871
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,958
N/A
N/A
$23,439
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 8.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,817
N/A
N/A
$31,003
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas wins by over 23.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,887
N/A
N/A
$24,496
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,677
N/A
N/A
$20,883
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 34

Intro

This market tracks whether Texas will win the college football game against Florida by more than 2.5 points. Currently, the probability of Texas winning by over 2.5 points on Kalshi is 49.0%, closely matched by the 49.0% probability of Texas winning by over 1.5 points. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Florida vs Texas game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 17, 2026, as the final score will determine the resolution of this market.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Florida vs Texas college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For Texas markets, resolution occurs if Texas wins by more than the specified point differential; for Florida markets, resolution occurs if Florida wins by more than the specified point differential. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Florida vs Texas spread tracks the current implied probability of various outcomes, the trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. You’ll find the current best available price to buy or sell contracts related to the spread, along with the 24-hour volume of $3,115,411. The total volume traded on this market is currently $3,231,562. This allows participants to understand market sentiment and track activity surrounding this matchup.

Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. Therefore, you may observe discrepancies between the two. If a significant difference exists, it could indicate that market participants believe sportsbooks are undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, or that there’s new information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different sides of the spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The current price represents the probability of a particular spread being accurate at the conclusion of the game.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Florida vs Texas game. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all impact market sentiment. Unexpected developments in team performance during other games, or shifts in public perception based on media coverage, could also cause the price to move. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team covering the spread has the potential to drive trading activity and change the price.