TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 7:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Florida and Auburn. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The market determines which team, if any, will score the first touchdown in the Florida vs Auburn college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count toward the outcome, including those scored in overtime. If neither team scores a touchdown at any point in the game, including overtime, the 'No team scores a TD' market resolves as the winner. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves at a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that prediction market traders possess information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook odds. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a lower probability, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust these prices based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic and responsive market. This means the price isn’t fixed but rather fluctuates with supply and demand, offering opportunities to profit from correctly anticipating the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Florida vs Auburn game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and accurate determination of the winning outcome. The platform will verify these results against trusted sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning traders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Florida or Auburn would likely cause significant shifts, as would any changes in weather forecasts potentially impacting the game's style. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, even public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere could influence trader behavior on Kalshi, leading to price fluctuations as the game approaches.