TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.5b

24H VOL:

$251,268,536

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,817,056,367

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,864,438,999

455,542

Markets across

34,846

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,830

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Florida State vs. Miami (FL)
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Florida State vs. Miami (FL)?

Total volume:
$30,216,847
Volume 24h:
$29,982,049
49,372%
Liquidity:
$4,077
100%
Open interest:
$11,041,073
5,101%

Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5

 - Polymarket

Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 17, 2026

Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 50¢ buys you 200 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $200 | Net Profit: $100 Multiplier: 2.00x | ROI: 100% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Miami (FL) O/U 4.5

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Miami (FL) O/U 5.5

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Miami (FL)

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,734,772
N/A
N/A
$3,481,020
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 45.5

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,770
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 61.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 75.5

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,048
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 27.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$579
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$576
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 63.5

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Miami (FL) O/U 23.5

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 21.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Florida State O/U 26.5

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 238

Intro

This market tracks the total 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the upcoming Florida State versus Miami (FL) college football game. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi indicates a 100.0% chance of Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5. Resolution will be based on data reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 17th, as the final 4th down conversion count will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi only offers a basic win/loss market, while Polymarket provides a comprehensive suite of markets covering various aspects of the game.Hero tip: Consider the broader range of markets available on Polymarket if you're looking for more specific predictions beyond the simple game winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers a wide range of markets including game winner, point spreads, over/unders, and team/player statistics. Resolves ties with a 50/50 split. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion; if canceled, it resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Only offers a market resolving to 'Yes' if either team wins. No markets for point spreads or over/unders. Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Miami (FL), scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves according to the official outcome of the Florida St. vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If postponed but begins within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, betting continues and resolves based on the final result. If canceled or not started within 48 hours, the market resolves at a fair price. Kalshi is not connected to the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Miami (FL), scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard consolidates predictions on the Florida State-Miami football rivalry from multiple platforms, providing a consensus view of potential outcomes. Currently, the total volume across Polymarket and Kalshi is $30,216,847, with $24,401,743 traded in the last 24 hours. By aggregating data, we aim to offer a more comprehensive understanding of market sentiment than any single platform could provide. The dashboard tracks probabilities and trading volume to give a holistic perspective on who is favored to win this highly anticipated matchup. It’s a great way to see where the crowd stands on the Florida State-Miami football rivalry.

Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can result in prediction markets being more efficient at incorporating new information and reflecting the true probabilities of various events. While sportsbooks may adjust odds slowly, this market can react quickly to breaking news or changing sentiment.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different traders with varying risk appetites and information sets, which influences price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can fluctuate independently, leading to price discrepancies. Market makers may also employ different strategies on Polymarket versus Kalshi, further contributing to the observed differences. These variations are normal and reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets, offering opportunities for arbitrage and informed trading.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Florida State versus Miami (FL) football game, as reported by official sources. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the resolution process and ensure a clear understanding of how the outcome will be verified.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather forecasts could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, major upsets in other college football games could affect public perception and impact the overall sentiment surrounding this rivalry. Finally, any significant news related to team morale or off-field issues could also move the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.