TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals (W)
Volume:
$567,735
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Florida State Seminoles and Louisville Cardinals scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking which team wins this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No structure that resolves to Yes regardless of winner, while Polymarket uses categorical resolution naming the specific winning team. This creates a structural mismatch in how outcomes are encoded.Hero Tip:
Understand your platform's resolution format before trading. On Kalshi, you are betting the game happens and completes, not on a specific team. On Polymarket, you are directly betting on team victory. These serve different trading purposes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes resolution for any completed game outcome. Both team victories (Louisville or Florida State) resolve identically to Yes. Key Quote: If Louisville wins or Florida St. wins, market resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution naming the winning team. Florida State victory resolves to Florida State Seminoles; Louisville victory resolves to Louisville Cardinals. Key Quote: If the Florida State Seminoles win, the market will resolve to Florida State Seminoles. If the Louisville Cardinals win, the market will resolve to Louisville Cardinals.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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