TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils (W)
Volume:
$188,447
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Florida State Seminoles and Duke Blue Devils scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Duke win or Florida State win) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and contradicting the binary nature of the event.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi until this is corrected. Polymarket has proper binary resolution logic: one outcome per team. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source for this matchup.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all structure. Florida State win resolves to 'Florida State Seminoles', Duke win resolves to 'Duke Blue Devils'. Includes proper edge cases: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Tautological error: both 'If Duke wins' and 'If Florida St. wins' map to 'resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market outcome is predetermined regardless of game result, violating the fundamental binary structure of a head-to-head sports event.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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