TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils (W)

Volume:
$188,447

Duke

 - Kalshi

Duke - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 26, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Duke

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,699
N/A
N/A
$26,867
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida St.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154,667
N/A
N/A
$118,662
Settled
No
polymarket

Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils (W)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,081
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Florida State Seminoles and Duke Blue Devils scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Duke win or Florida State win) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and contradicting the binary nature of the event.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi until this is corrected. Polymarket has proper binary resolution logic: one outcome per team. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source for this matchup.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all structure. Florida State win resolves to 'Florida State Seminoles', Duke win resolves to 'Duke Blue Devils'. Includes proper edge cases: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Tautological error: both 'If Duke wins' and 'If Florida St. wins' map to 'resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market outcome is predetermined regardless of game result, violating the fundamental binary structure of a head-to-head sports event.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.