This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Florida State Seminoles and Clemson Tigers scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET at Clemson. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-8.5 Clemson), and multiple over/under totals (143.5, 144.5, 145.5).
Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Florida State win and Clemson win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket and Kalshi spread/totals markets are internally consistent.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The stated rules guarantee a Yes resolution regardless of outcome. For spread and totals across both platforms, resolution is unified: final score including overtime, postponement keeps market open, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Florida St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Clemson wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to either 'Florida State Seminoles' or 'Clemson Tigers' based on winner. Spread resolves to Clemson if they win by 9+, otherwise Florida State. Totals resolve Over/Under based on combined score thresholds (146+, 145+, 144+ respectively). All use final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.