TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Florida State and Alabama. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines whether Alabama, Florida State, or neither team scores the first touchdown in their college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. All touchdowns—including those from offensive, defensive, or special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within that window, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent but interrelated: a 'Yes' outcome for either team's market occurs if that team scores the first touchdown, while the 'No team scores a TD' market resolves to 'Yes' only if neither team scores a touchdown at any point in the game, including overtime. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As a result, you might see differences in implied probabilities between Kalshi and sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or public opinion shifts regarding the likely first team to score a touchdown in this game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each team to score first, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, reflecting a higher probability of that team scoring first. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by traders' expectations and any new information that becomes available, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential outcome. The current market reflects the collective judgment of those participating on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team scores the first touchdown in the Florida vs Alabama game. The official game results will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida or Alabama teams would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's offensive style, could also impact the market. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and any shifts in public betting sentiment could all contribute to fluctuations in the prices offered on Kalshi. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or starting lineups could also move this market before the game begins.