TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 9:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds for both teams.
All markets resolve based on the official final point total scored by each team in the Florida International vs South Florida college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. For any market, if the specified team scores more points than the threshold stated in the market title, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning they settle based on reasonable expectations given available information up to that point. The operator explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all team names and logos remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds in this market can adjust more rapidly than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment, creating a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Florida International and South Florida will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals are above or below the specified thresholds, as defined by the contract details on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Key player injuries on either Florida International or South Florida would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected coaching changes, significant weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even breaking news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could all move the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could also signal changing sentiment and trigger price adjustments. Monitoring these signals closely will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before Sep 6, 2026.