TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 7:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Florida International and Florida Atlantic. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin in the first half.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Florida International vs Florida Atlantic college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For markets where Florida Atlantic is the designated winner, resolution occurs if Florida Atlantic leads by more than the specified point margin at the end of the first half. Conversely, for markets where Florida International is the designated winner, resolution occurs if Florida International leads by more than the specified point margin at the end of the first half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty and preventing unfair outcomes due to unforeseen scheduling changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin into their odds. This market, however, is driven purely by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. While sportsbooks may initially have different lines, prediction market prices often become more accurate as the event approaches and more information becomes available, potentially offering a more refined view of the likely outcome compared to initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. Buyers are expressing confidence in that outcome, while sellers are betting against it. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are determined by supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating a higher perceived likelihood, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information from a diverse range of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual point difference between Florida International and Florida Atlantic at the end of the first half. The market will settle based on this official result, as reported by a trusted source for sports scores. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could affect trader sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any significant betting patterns observed in sportsbooks might also influence trading activity on Kalshi, as traders attempt to capitalize on perceived discrepancies.