TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Missouri State Bears (W)
Volume:
$8,993
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Florida International Golden Panthers and Missouri State Bears scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket specifies binary winner resolution with explicit 50-50 cancellation handling, while Kalshi uses a YES-resolution-for-either-winner structure with no stated cancellation protocol. The markets measure different settlement dimensions despite covering the same game.Hero Tip:
Traders should clarify Kalshi's cancellation and postponement rules before settlement. Polymarket's 50-50 clause is more trader-friendly for tail risk. If the game is postponed beyond Feb 26, Polymarket remains open but Kalshi's resolution path is unclear.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner-based resolution: market resolves to the name of the winning team (Florida International Golden Panthers or Missouri State Bears) based on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Outcome-agnostic YES resolution: market resolves YES if either Missouri State or Florida International wins the game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026. No explicit guidance on postponement or cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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