TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 8:41 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either Florida or Florida Atlantic dominates the first quarter of their upcoming college football matchup. They focus exclusively on the scoring differential within the first 15 minutes of play, offering various thresholds for victory margins.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of the Florida Atlantic vs Florida college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. For markets specifying Florida winning by more than a certain margin, resolution occurs if Florida's first-quarter score exceeds the opponent's by more than the stated threshold. Conversely, markets specifying Florida Atlantic winning resolve if its first-quarter score exceeds Florida's by more than the stated margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty introduced by the delay. Each market operates independently, with resolution contingent only on its specific point-differential condition being met during the first quarter.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison when evaluating the potential value in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring – in this case, Florida covering the first quarter spread. As more people buy contracts predicting Florida will cover, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of traders participating on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final first-quarter spread will be checked against official game statistics to determine whether Florida covered the spread. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing body of college football, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game begins. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Florida Atlantic or Florida would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.