TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Bettors can choose from various thresholds to speculate on whether one team will dominate the other in the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Florida Atlantic vs Florida college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's first-half point differential meets or exceeds the market's threshold. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals buying and selling contracts based on their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see initial discrepancies that narrow as the event approaches, with this market potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of Florida covering the spread. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined by the forces of supply and demand; if more traders believe Florida will cover, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final first-half spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the governing body of college football, determining whether Florida covered the spread as defined by the market contract. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout of 100 per contract, while those on the losing side will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries to either Florida or Florida Atlantic would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could impact trader behavior and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market. Public perception and betting trends from traditional sportsbooks could also play a role.