TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.6b
24H VOL:
$185,329,595
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,799,378,420
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,813,258,821
507,072
Markets across
37,953
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,853
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the upcoming college football game between Florida Atlantic and Army. Currently, the consensus probability favors over 0.5 total 4th down conversions at 100.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on data reported at https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 17th, as the final 4th down conversion statistics will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming college football game between Florida Atlantic and Army, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida Atlantic" if Florida Atlantic win the game. This market will resolve to "Army" if Army win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Florida Atlantic vs Army college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final, official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Florida Atlantic vs. Army game may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can vary, leading to price discrepancies. Different market designs – such as the types of contracts offered or the allowed trading strategies – can also contribute to these differences. The current volume on each platform impacts how quickly information is incorporated into the price, and varying levels of participation can create temporary imbalances.