TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.6b

24H VOL:

$185,329,595

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,799,378,420

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,813,258,821

507,072

Markets across

37,953

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,853

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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Florida Atlantic vs. Army
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Florida Atlantic vs. Army?

Volume:
$1,747,221

Army

 - Kalshi

Army - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Army

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$544,202
N/A
N/A
$315,639
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 71.5

100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 27.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 69.5

100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,053
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 75.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 65.5

100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -0.5

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 73.5

100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -1.5

100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$172
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$172
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Florida Atlantic O/U 23.5

100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the total 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the upcoming college football game between Florida Atlantic and Army. Currently, the consensus probability favors over 0.5 total 4th down conversions at 100.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on data reported at https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 17th, as the final 4th down conversion statistics will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers a simple 'game happens' market, while Polymarket provides detailed markets on the winner, spread, and total points scored.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets for specific outcomes and avoid the Kalshi market due to its lack of granularity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Florida Atlantic or Army wins the game. Provides no specific outcome information.
  • Polymarket: Offers markets resolving to the winning team, point spreads (with varying thresholds), and over/under totals for the entire game, first/second halves, and quarters. Resolution depends on final scores and specific point differentials.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Florida Atlantic and Army, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida Atlantic" if Florida Atlantic win the game. This market will resolve to "Army" if Army win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Florida Atlantic vs Army college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final, official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Florida Atlantic vs. Army game, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow participants to freely express their beliefs. This market, for example, reflects the aggregated insight of traders who may have access to different information or analytical approaches. Consequently, prediction markets can sometimes provide more accurate forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest and active trading volume. The difference can also stem from differing risk appetites and incentives.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Florida Atlantic vs. Army game may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can vary, leading to price discrepancies. Different market designs – such as the types of contracts offered or the allowed trading strategies – can also contribute to these differences. The current volume on each platform impacts how quickly information is incorporated into the price, and varying levels of participation can create temporary imbalances.