TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 8:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Florida A&M and Miami (FL). It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines whether Florida A&M or Miami (FL) scores the first touchdown in their college football game scheduled for September 10, 2026, or if no team scores a touchdown at all. All types of touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, the result will still be based on the actual game outcome. However, if the game does not begin within 48 hours of its scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but these can be swayed by biases or marketing strategies. This market, driven by traders actively buying and selling contracts, tends to incorporate new information quickly, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. Discrepancies between prediction markets and sportsbooks can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news, injuries, and other factors influencing the game's outcome, constantly adjusting the perceived likelihood of each team scoring first.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first touchdown in the Florida A&M vs Miami (FL) game. The official game statistics will be used to determine the winning contract. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be assessed against publicly available game data to ensure a fair and accurate resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Florida A&M or Miami (FL) would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's offensive style, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might draw attention to this market and influence trading decisions.