TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses different potential score margins in an upcoming soccer match between Floresta and Santa Cruz FC PE. It focuses on the extent to which either team might win, considering various goal differences. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event determines whether Floresta or Santa Cruz FC PE achieves a specified goal differential victory in their Brasileiro Serie C soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Floresta winning by more than 2.5 goals, Floresta winning by more than 1.5 goals, Santa Cruz FC PE winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Santa Cruz FC PE winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The market explicitly states that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Floresta vs Santa Cruz match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, reflecting the evolving understanding of the event's potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread result of the Floresta vs Santa Cruz match, as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process and ensure transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that might affect the match’s conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades or significant shifts in public opinion could lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the Floresta vs Santa Cruz match will be key to understanding potential market fluctuations.