TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:09 PM EST
Kalshi
A third Brazilian Serie C soccer encounter pits two teams against each other. The match's official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time determines the market resolution.
The market resolves based on the result of the Floresta vs Santa Cruz FC PE professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Floresta wins, the 'Floresta' market resolves to Yes. If Santa Cruz FC PE wins, the 'Santa Cruz FC PE' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money trading. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both represent probabilities of the same outcome – the result of the Floresta vs Santa Cruz match – but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Floresta vs Santa Cruz match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly updating based on supply and demand, offering a real-time view of expectations for the game's result.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Floresta vs Santa Cruz match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It's important to note that the market will close prior to the official result to allow for a smooth and orderly settlement process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 26, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could all impact the perceived probabilities of each outcome. Unexpected announcements or developments related to either Floresta or Santa Cruz FC PE would likely trigger significant price movements. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match's outcome is key to understanding how this market might evolve.