TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 10:41 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC: if Flavio Cobolli wins the match, this market resolves to "Flavio Cobolli"; if A. Fery wins, it resolves to "A. Fery". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC: if Flavio Cobolli wins the match, this market resolves to "Flavio Cobolli"; if A. Fery wins, it resolves to "A. Fery". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or trading volume shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Opinion, traders set prices through continuous order-book matching, where buy and sell orders determine the current odds for each outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective assessment of all active traders at any given moment. As new match information surfaces—injury reports, recent form, head-to-head records—traders adjust their positions, moving the odds accordingly. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to changing conditions leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the official winner as confirmed by recognized tennis authorities and reporting. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares based on their expectations and any developments that might influence the final result.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before Jul 8, 2026. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, ranking changes, and head-to-head performance trends also influence trader sentiment. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and betting patterns from major sportsbooks may prompt position adjustments. Media coverage and expert commentary can sway perception, while late-breaking form updates or player statements often spark significant volume spikes and price movement.