TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Flamengo vs Sao Paulo: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Flamengo vs São Paulo?

Volume:
$79,206

Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 7:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,186
N/A
N/A
$25,057
Settled
No
kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,102
N/A
N/A
$15,236
Settled
No
kalshi

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,518
N/A
N/A
$2,169
Settled
No
kalshi

Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$399
N/A
N/A
$395
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event covers the goal margin between Flamengo and Sao Paulo in their July 26, 2026 match. Bettors predict whether one team will win by more than specified goal margins during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the goal differential in the Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Brasileiro Serie A match scheduled for July 26, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Markets resolve based on whether Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or whether Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each outcome resolves independently to Yes if the specified team wins by the specified margin, or No otherwise.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and participant bases. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders through continuous price discovery. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook spreads depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value or disagreement on the likely outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different spread outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform converts trader activity into real-time odds, with prices reflecting the collective assessment of whether the spread will exceed or fall short of the stated threshold. Higher trading volume typically narrows the bid-ask spread and increases price precision. Kalshi's transparent pricing model means you can see exactly what other traders are willing to pay or accept, enabling competitive entry and exit points throughout the trading period.

This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, once the Flamengo vs São Paulo match concludes and the final result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the goal differential between the two teams at the end of regulation play. Traders holding shares in the correct spread outcome will receive their payout based on the confirmed final score. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, pending official confirmation.

Key catalysts for price movement include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes disclosed before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage can shift trader sentiment as the match approaches. Live updates during the game—such as early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will drive sharp repricing. Weather conditions and last-minute roster decisions may also influence how traders reassess the likely margin of victory in this matchup.