TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 7:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event covers the goal margin between Flamengo and Sao Paulo in their July 26, 2026 match. Bettors predict whether one team will win by more than specified goal margins during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Resolution is based on the goal differential in the Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Brasileiro Serie A match scheduled for July 26, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Markets resolve based on whether Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or whether Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each outcome resolves independently to Yes if the specified team wins by the specified margin, or No otherwise.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different spread outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform converts trader activity into real-time odds, with prices reflecting the collective assessment of whether the spread will exceed or fall short of the stated threshold. Higher trading volume typically narrows the bid-ask spread and increases price precision. Kalshi's transparent pricing model means you can see exactly what other traders are willing to pay or accept, enabling competitive entry and exit points throughout the trading period.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, once the Flamengo vs São Paulo match concludes and the final result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the goal differential between the two teams at the end of regulation play. Traders holding shares in the correct spread outcome will receive their payout based on the confirmed final score. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, pending official confirmation.
Key catalysts for price movement include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes disclosed before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage can shift trader sentiment as the match approaches. Live updates during the game—such as early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will drive sharp repricing. Weather conditions and last-minute roster decisions may also influence how traders reassess the likely margin of victory in this matchup.