TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 10:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored during the regulation time of a soccer match between Flamengo and Independiente del Valle in the CONMEBOL Libertadores tournament. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match exceeds that threshold within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on whether the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the Flamengo vs Ind. del Valle professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game scheduled for September 17, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) during regulation time—this includes the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. If the combined total goals meet or surpass the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' All markets are independent, each evaluating a distinct goal threshold. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of different outcomes. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome, potentially due to information advantages or biases present in either venue. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Flamengo vs Ind. del Valle match. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out based on the final goal tally.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of goals scored during regulation time in the Flamengo vs Ind. del Valle match. Official sources will be used to determine the final score, and the contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the total goals. Traders should monitor official results to understand the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Sep 18, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Flamengo or Ind. del Valle would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the playing style or field conditions, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, pre-match analysis from reputable soccer experts and any shifts in public sentiment could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.