TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Flamengo and Cruzeiro, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regulation time. It considers different thresholds for wins by either team, without accounting for extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates whether either Flamengo or Cruzeiro achieves a victory margin exceeding specified goal differences in the regulation time of their CONMEBOL Libertadores match scheduled for August 19, 2026. Regulation time consists of the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes any extra time periods or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Flamengo winning by more than 2.5 goals, Flamengo winning by more than 1.5 goals, Cruzeiro winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Cruzeiro winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met—meaning either team secures a win with the required goal differential excess—the corresponding market resolves positively. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous trading, with the current top outcome reflecting the collective assessment of Flamengo’s likely margin of victory over Cruzeiro. The market’s liquidity and volume of $20,493 help ensure that prices adjust quickly to new data, such as lineup changes or weather updates.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in regulation time will determine which side of the market is settled, based on official match results and statistics from recognized sports authorities.
Injuries to key players, tactical changes by coaches, weather conditions on match day, and shifting team form leading up to the game could all move this market. Additionally, any significant betting trends or media narratives highlighting one team’s strengths may influence trader sentiment and adjust the odds on Kalshi as the event nears.