TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Velež Mostar and FC Milsami Orhei, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Velež Mostar" if FK Velež Mostar score more goals than FC Milsami Orhei in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Velež Mostar and FC Milsami Orhei score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Milsami Orhei" if FC Milsami Orhei score more goals than FK Velež Mostar in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Velež Mostar and FC Milsami Orhei, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Velež Mostar" if FK Velež Mostar score more goals than FC Milsami Orhei in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Velež Mostar and FC Milsami Orhei score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Milsami Orhei" if FC Milsami Orhei score more goals than FK Velež Mostar in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, particularly if one venue has sharper information or different liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where outlier views exist.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying or selling shares moves the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate belief of all traders holding positions. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or pre-match analysis—traders adjust their positions, causing the price to shift. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing expectations about the second half outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match concludes and the second half result is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half period. Resolution occurs after credible public reporting confirms the final score, allowing traders to settle their positions based on the actual match result. Early resolution may occur if the match is abandoned or postponed under exceptional circumstances.
Team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes can shift trader expectations significantly. Pre-match analysis, recent form, and head-to-head records influence positioning ahead of kickoff. During the match itself, goals, red cards, and momentum swings will cause sharp repricing as the second half unfolds. Weather conditions, venue factors, and tactical adjustments announced before or during play may also trigger notable market moves as traders reassess probabilities in real time.