TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Velež Mostar and FC Milsami Orhei, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Velež Mostar vs. FC Milsami Orhei match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Velež Mostar and FC Milsami Orhei, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Velež Mostar vs. FC Milsami Orhei match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. This market aggregates the collective intelligence of thousands of independent forecasters, which can sometimes surface insights before sportsbooks adjust. However, sportsbooks employ specialized oddsmakers and may react faster to breaking news, so neither source is universally superior—comparing both provides a fuller picture.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy and sell shares in any exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the ratio of liquidity allocated to it, and as traders buy or sell, the price adjusts continuously. The more capital flowing into a particular scoreline, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This mechanism ensures transparent, real-time pricing and allows participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match between Velež Mostar and Milsami Orhei concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular time. All positions settle based on which exact score outcome occurred, with winners receiving their payout and losers forfeiting their stake. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift odds for specific scorelines, especially if a key striker or goalkeeper is ruled out. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader expectations. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move the market in the hours before kickoff as they deploy larger positions. Live updates during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, will cause rapid repricing of remaining outcomes, reflecting the new probability landscape as the event unfolds.