TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 5:57 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Vardar Skopje and Rīga FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Vardar Skopje vs. Rīga FC match originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Vardar Skopje and Rīga FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Vardar Skopje vs. Rīga FC match originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. This market aggregates the beliefs of many independent forecasters, which can sometimes reveal inefficiencies or contrarian views that traditional sportsbooks have not yet priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd sees value that bookmakers may have missed.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds for each exact-score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible final score, and the cumulative order flow determines the probability displayed for every option. As more capital flows into a particular outcome, its odds shift upward; conversely, reduced interest lowers its price. This continuous, transparent pricing mechanism ensures that odds reflect the latest information and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team at the end of regulation time. Traders who correctly predicted the precise scoreline will receive payouts proportional to their position size, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution is automatic once the official result is confirmed and recorded on the platform.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts that alter expected performance. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all shift trader expectations about the likely scoreline. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market may also trigger rapid repricing as new information or analysis reaches the crowd. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and late-breaking developments in either squad's preparation can drive volatility in odds right up until kickoff.