TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 6:07 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between FK Spartak Moskva and FK Rodina Moskva, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Spartak Moskva" if FK Spartak Moskva score more goals than FK Rodina Moskva in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Spartak Moskva and FK Rodina Moskva score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Rodina Moskva" if FK Rodina Moskva score more goals than FK Spartak Moskva in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between FK Spartak Moskva and FK Rodina Moskva, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Spartak Moskva" if FK Spartak Moskva score more goals than FK Rodina Moskva in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Spartak Moskva and FK Rodina Moskva score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Rodina Moskva" if FK Rodina Moskva score more goals than FK Spartak Moskva in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and participant bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets derive prices from continuous trading among many independent participants. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper or earlier signals on outcomes because traders have direct financial incentive to discover true probabilities. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or public betting patterns. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether one venue is pricing the outcome differently.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the price of each share reflects the cumulative probability assigned by all active traders. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls, maintaining a dynamic equilibrium. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free pricing and allows traders to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which team scored more goals during the second half, or whether the teams finished level. Resolution occurs after official confirmation of the final score, ensuring accuracy and fairness to all traders. Until that point, prices may continue to shift as new information emerges or as the match progresses.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before Jul 25, 2026. Team news—such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp repricing. Early match momentum, goals scored in the first half, and tactical adjustments by either manager can all influence trader expectations for the second half. Weather conditions, crowd atmosphere, and referee decisions may also sway sentiment. As kickoff approaches and the first half unfolds, traders will incorporate real-time observations into their bids and offers, causing the market price to evolve dynamically.