TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026 between FK Shakhtar Donetsk and KKS Lech Poznań.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 19, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official UEFA statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- The match outcome is determined solely by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes exist: Shakhtar win (YES on Polymarket Q1, YES on Kalshi Q2), Draw (YES on Polymarket Q4, YES on Kalshi Q1), or Lech Poznań win (YES on Polymarket Q6, YES on Kalshi Q3).
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket markets Q1 and Q6 resolve NO, Q4 resolves YES; Kalshi markets all resolve YES (covering all three outcomes).
- Exactly one outcome will occur, and the corresponding markets across both platforms will resolve YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled with no rescheduled make-up game, Polymarket's Shakhtar win and Lech Poznań win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES. Kalshi's three outcome markets all resolve YES, creating a technical divergence in cancellation handling that does not affect the underlying match result determination.
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is completed, regardless of how long the postponement lasts.
- Resolution Source Fallback: If UEFA or the governing body does not publish official match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, Polymarket permits resolution based on consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately upon official publication of the final match result by UEFA or the governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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