TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań
polymarket
kalshi

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań

Volume:
$625,347

KKS Lech Poznań

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 20, 2026

Closed: Mar 19, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

KKS Lech Poznań

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$102,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lech Poznan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84,861
N/A
N/A
$32,826
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shakhtar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$234,513
N/A
N/A
$109,436
Settled
No
polymarket

FK Shakhtar Donetsk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$155,362
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,650
N/A
N/A
$23,883
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,734
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026 between FK Shakhtar Donetsk and KKS Lech Poznań.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 19, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official UEFA statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • The match outcome is determined solely by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes exist: Shakhtar win (YES on Polymarket Q1, YES on Kalshi Q2), Draw (YES on Polymarket Q4, YES on Kalshi Q1), or Lech Poznań win (YES on Polymarket Q6, YES on Kalshi Q3).
  • If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket markets Q1 and Q6 resolve NO, Q4 resolves YES; Kalshi markets all resolve YES (covering all three outcomes).
  • Exactly one outcome will occur, and the corresponding markets across both platforms will resolve YES.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled with no rescheduled make-up game, Polymarket's Shakhtar win and Lech Poznań win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES. Kalshi's three outcome markets all resolve YES, creating a technical divergence in cancellation handling that does not affect the underlying match result determination.
  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is completed, regardless of how long the postponement lasts.
  • Resolution Source Fallback: If UEFA or the governing body does not publish official match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, Polymarket permits resolution based on consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately upon official publication of the final match result by UEFA or the governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.