TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ
Volume:
$834,188
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
FK Shakhtar Donetsk will face AZ Alkmaar in a UEFA Europa Conference League match scheduled for April 9, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard three-way soccer match with potential outcomes: Shakhtar win, AZ win, or draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets create a logical contradiction where every possible outcome (Shakhtar win, Alkmaar win, or tie) resolves to YES, making the market group fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's three separate binary markets correctly map each outcome to a distinct resolution path.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they contain a fatal logical flaw where all three outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve YES. Polymarket's markets are resolvable: exactly one of the three binary outcomes will occur, and exactly one market will resolve YES while the other two resolve NO.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: All three markets (Shakhtar win, Alkmaar win, tie) are written identically with 'then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical impossibility where every possible match outcome triggers YES on all three markets simultaneously. Quote: 'If Shakhtar wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Alkmaar wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound resolution logic: Three separate binary markets correctly partition the outcome space — 'Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win' (YES/NO), 'Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ end in a draw' (YES/NO), and 'Will AZ win' (YES/NO) — such that exactly one resolves YES and the other two resolve NO based on the actual match result. Quote: 'If FK Shakhtar Donetsk wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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