TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Sarajevo and FC Inter Turku, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Sarajevo vs. FC Inter Turku match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Sarajevo and FC Inter Turku, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Sarajevo vs. FC Inter Turku match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or if one venue attracts sharper traders. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views persist, though each reflects genuine market conviction in its own right.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact-score outcome by buying and selling shares, with the current price reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The most heavily traded scoreline typically commands the highest price, while less likely outcomes trade at lower levels. As match conditions change—injuries, weather, team news—prices adjust dynamically. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, so deeper markets tend to converge faster toward consensus.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match between FK Sarajevo and FC Inter Turku concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular time, verified against credible public sources covering the fixture. Traders holding shares in the correct exact-score outcome receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing rapid settlement.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form or head-to-head history. Weather conditions on match day can influence scoring patterns, as can tactical shifts or managerial changes. Betting syndicates and sharp traders may accumulate positions on specific scorelines, creating visible price spikes. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and late-breaking developments—such as a player suspension or venue change—can all shift probabilities. As kickoff approaches, liquidity typically increases, allowing larger trades to move prices more noticeably.