TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the Serbian SuperLiga soccer match between FK Radnik Surdulica and FK Novi Pazar scheduled for August 23, 2026. The markets focus on determining the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, specifically whether Radnik wins, Novi Pazar wins, or the match ends in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Serbia SuperLiga game, scheduled for Sunday, August 23, 2026 between FK Radnik Surdulica and FK Novi Pazar.
The event involves determining the winner of a professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer match between Radnik and Novi Pazar scheduled for August 23, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Radnik wins, Novi Pazar wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a more nuanced, crowd-sourced assessment of probabilities, incorporating diverse trader insights and real-time data flows. Sportsbook odds, by contrast, are set by professional oddsmakers who may factor in additional commercial considerations. In this market, the gap between the two can vary widely, especially as new information emerges about team form, injuries, or weather conditions that might affect the match.
Differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading mechanics between Polymarket and Kalshi can lead to price variations. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans or traders with specific insights, skewing its odds temporarily. Additionally, varying levels of volume on each venue can amplify small shifts in sentiment, causing divergent price action even for the same underlying event.
Key signals include last-minute player injuries, changes to the coaching staff, or weather forecasts affecting match conditions. Additionally, early betting trends on either platform can create momentum shifts, while pre-match news such as tactical announcements or recent performance stats may also cause rapid re-pricing in this market as the event draws nearer.