TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 7:32 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Polissia and FC København, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Polissia" if FK Polissia score more goals than FC København in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Polissia and FC København score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC København" if FC København score more goals than FK Polissia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Polissia and FC København, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Polissia" if FK Polissia score more goals than FC København in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Polissia and FC København score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC København" if FC København score more goals than FK Polissia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real financial skin in the game. On this market, traders are directly pricing their expectations for the second-half outcome, which can lead to sharper or more reactive pricing than a static sportsbook line. Both sources offer value, but prediction markets tend to update faster in response to breaking news or shifting sentiment, making them useful for comparing against your own view of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), and traders profit by buying low and selling high or by correctly predicting the result. The current price reflects the aggregate confidence of all active traders; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the price adjusts dynamically. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to changing expectations right up until resolution.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score for the second half only, independent of the first-half result. Traders holding positions on the correct outcome receive their payout automatically after verification. Until that point, the market remains open for trading, allowing you to adjust your position or enter new trades as the match unfolds and new information becomes available.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment and move prices before the match begins. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp repricing. Weather conditions, venue factors, or recent form updates can also influence expectations. Once the first half concludes, the scoreline and momentum become critical signals; a team trailing heavily or playing with reduced numbers may see its second-half odds shift significantly. Late-breaking developments like player suspensions or unexpected absences can create sudden volatility. Traders continuously reassess probabilities based on these signals, so prices may swing notably in the hours before kickoff and during halftime.