TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 8:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Panevėžys and Tobyl FK, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Panevėžys" if FK Panevėžys score more goals than Tobyl FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Panevėžys and Tobyl FK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Tobyl FK" if Tobyl FK score more goals than FK Panevėžys in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Panevėžys and Tobyl FK, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Panevėžys" if FK Panevėžys score more goals than Tobyl FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Panevėžys and Tobyl FK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Tobyl FK" if Tobyl FK score more goals than FK Panevėžys in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader conviction—there is no house edge. This market aggregates real money from thousands of independent forecasters, which can reveal information gaps that sportsbooks miss. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or more accurate than professional oddsmakers on similar events, particularly when traders have specialized knowledge.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregate belief of all active traders; as new money flows in, prices adjust instantly. You buy or sell shares corresponding to each outcome, and your profit or loss depends on the final resolution price. The spread between bid and ask widens or narrows based on trading volume and uncertainty, so more active markets typically offer tighter pricing and faster execution.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score reported by the league or match authority. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution is typically confirmed within hours of the final whistle, allowing quick settlement and capital redeployment to other events.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff—can shift odds significantly. Early match momentum, goals scored, or red cards during the first half will likely trigger sharp repricing as traders update their forecasts for the second-half outcome. Weather conditions, crowd factors, or unexpected referee decisions may also influence trader sentiment. As the match progresses, live score updates and real-time performance data will be the primary catalysts driving price movement until the final whistle.