TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 2:45 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Mornar Bar and Atlétic Club d'Escaldes, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Mornar Bar" if FK Mornar Bar score more goals than Atlétic Club d'Escaldes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Mornar Bar and Atlétic Club d'Escaldes score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atlétic Club d'Escaldes" if Atlétic Club d'Escaldes score more goals than FK Mornar Bar in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Mornar Bar and Atlétic Club d'Escaldes, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Mornar Bar" if FK Mornar Bar score more goals than Atlétic Club d'Escaldes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Mornar Bar and Atlétic Club d'Escaldes score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atlétic Club d'Escaldes" if Atlétic Club d'Escaldes score more goals than FK Mornar Bar in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market may show tighter or wider spreads than traditional sportsbooks, and the implied probabilities can shift faster on prediction markets during breaking news or late-breaking team information. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs most sharply.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker or order-book system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders at that moment. As new information emerges—injuries, weather, team news—traders adjust their positions, moving the odds in real time. Prices converge toward the true probability as the event approaches and uncertainty decreases.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the second half of the Mornar Bar versus Escaldes match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score recorded during the second half only, independent of the first-half result. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, after official match data is confirmed and published by the relevant sports authority.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup changes announced before kickoff, or tactical shifts that affect second-half strategy. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates can all shift trader sentiment. Live match developments—goals scored in the first half, red cards, or momentum swings—often trigger sharp repricing as the event unfolds. Late-breaking betting syndicate activity or social media consensus can also move prices as resolution approaches.