TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 2:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Liepāja and FK Austria Wien, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Liepāja and FK Austria Wien, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this matchup, the crowd's probability estimates on Polymarket may differ from traditional bookmaker spreads, especially as match day approaches and new team news surfaces. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception and professional oddsmakers disagree, though both aim to reflect the true likelihood of each exact score outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing their chosen scoreline, and the price adjusts dynamically based on order flow and available liquidity. The top outcome currently reflects strong market conviction, though prices can shift rapidly if new information about team form, injuries, or lineup changes emerges. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to fresh signals right up until the match begins.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team at the end of regulation time. No extra time or penalty shootout results factor into the resolution. Traders who correctly predicted the precise final score receive their payout, while all other exact score predictions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle.
Team news has the strongest near-term impact on this market. Injury announcements for key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts can significantly alter the probability of specific scorelines. Recent form and head-to-head history also influence trader expectations, especially if either side enters on a winning or losing streak. Weather conditions on match day, crowd atmosphere, and pre-match commentary from analysts may trigger late repositioning. As Jul 23, 2026 approaches, any official updates from the clubs or league will likely prompt sharp price movements across all exact score outcomes.