TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 3:18 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between FK Krasnodar and FK Fakel Voronezh, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Krasnodar" if FK Krasnodar score more goals than FK Fakel Voronezh in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Krasnodar and FK Fakel Voronezh score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Fakel Voronezh" if FK Fakel Voronezh score more goals than FK Krasnodar in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between FK Krasnodar and FK Fakel Voronezh, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Krasnodar" if FK Krasnodar score more goals than FK Fakel Voronezh in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Krasnodar and FK Fakel Voronezh score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Fakel Voronezh" if FK Fakel Voronezh score more goals than FK Krasnodar in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasting. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many independent participants rather than a single operator's view. Comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs, though both reflect genuine market expectations for the second half result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the cumulative positions of all participants; as more traders back one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how smoothly prices move and how wide the bid-ask spread remains. Traders profit by correctly predicting the second half result, and their collective buying and selling behavior continuously updates the market's probability estimate.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by what actually occurs during the second half—whether one team scores more goals, both teams score equally, or neither scores. Resolution happens after the event is finalized and confirmed through standard sports data sources. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Several factors can shift odds before the match concludes. Team news—such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers repricing as traders reassess win probabilities. Early first-half momentum and goals can signal which team is likely to dominate the second half, prompting traders to reposition. Weather conditions, referee assignments, or late-breaking roster updates may also influence sentiment. As kickoff approaches and the first half unfolds, real-time performance data becomes the dominant driver, with goals, red cards, and possession patterns reshaping expectations for how the second half will play out.