TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FK Kauno Žalgiris and FC Drita, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Kauno Žalgiris" if FK Kauno Žalgiris are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Drita" if FC Drita are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FK Kauno Žalgiris and FC Drita, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Kauno Žalgiris" if FK Kauno Žalgiris are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Drita" if FC Drita are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets price outcomes through open trading among thousands of independent forecasters. For this matchup, comparing Polymarket's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree on which player is most likely to break the deadlock first.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker and order book, with each outcome represented as a tradable share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each player outcome reflects the cumulative bets placed; higher demand for a particular scorer drives that share's price upward, while lower interest pushes it down. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices adjust to breaking news, injury reports, or lineup changes before the match begins.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal scorer is verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by official match records and confirmed through widely recognized sports data sources. Early resolution may occur if the match is abandoned or postponed under conditions specified by the platform, though standard completion and goal verification typically govern final settlement.
Key catalysts include official team lineups, injury announcements affecting key forwards, recent form and goal-scoring streaks, and head-to-head historical data. Weather conditions and tactical adjustments revealed before kickoff can shift expectations about early attacking play. Live match momentum—such as early possession dominance or defensive pressure—will drive sharp repricing once the match begins, with each chance and near-miss potentially moving odds significantly until the first goal is scored.