TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 4:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Jablonec and NK Varaždin, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Jablonec" if FK Jablonec score more goals than NK Varaždin in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Jablonec and NK Varaždin score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Varaždin" if NK Varaždin score more goals than FK Jablonec in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Jablonec and NK Varaždin, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Jablonec" if FK Jablonec score more goals than NK Varaždin in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Jablonec and NK Varaždin score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Varaždin" if NK Varaždin score more goals than FK Jablonec in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money stakes. Prediction markets typically incorporate breaking news and live match developments faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. For this fixture, comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to major sportsbook offerings can reveal whether traders are pricing the second-half outcome differently than the betting market consensus.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on the ratio of shares bought and sold for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing their prediction of the second-half result, and the cumulative trading activity determines the displayed probability. As more capital flows toward one outcome, the price for that outcome rises and the alternative falls, creating a dynamic equilibrium that reflects real-time sentiment among participants.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the final result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team achieves the desired result during the second-half period only; first-half events do not factor into settlement. Resolution occurs after official confirmation from the league or match broadcaster, ensuring accuracy and preventing disputes. Traders should monitor the fixture schedule to confirm exact kick-off time, as market close typically aligns with the anticipated end of play.
Several in-match catalysts can shift odds significantly. Goals scored in the first half establish momentum and may influence second-half expectations, prompting traders to reposition. Red or yellow cards affecting key players alter tactical balance and perceived winning chances. Injury announcements or substitutions at halftime can signal a team's confidence or desperation. Weather changes, crowd energy, and tactical adjustments announced by managers all provide new information. Additionally, injury news or lineup confirmations released before kick-off may cause early repricing. Traders monitoring team news, live commentary, and first-half performance will have the best edge for timing entries and exits.