TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 4:37 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FK Jablonec and NK Varaždin, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Jablonec" if FK Jablonec are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Varaždin" if NK Varaždin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FK Jablonec and NK Varaždin, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Jablonec" if FK Jablonec are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Varaždin" if NK Varaždin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. On this market, the odds update continuously as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Sportsbooks typically move more slowly and may incorporate different risk models. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on prediction markets sees value differently than professional bookmakers, though both aim to reflect the true probability of the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into continuous odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see represents the cumulative conviction of all traders holding positions, updated in real time as each trade executes. Higher prices reflect stronger trader belief in that outcome; lower prices suggest skepticism. This mechanism ensures liquidity and allows you to enter or exit positions at transparent, algorithmically determined rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores the first goal during regular play. Once the event is final and confirmed through official match reporting, the market will settle to reflect the actual first scorer. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift odds as traders reassess each side's attacking threat. Recent form, head-to-head history, and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff all influence pricing. Weather conditions and venue factors may also matter. As match time approaches, late-breaking roster updates or coaching decisions often trigger sharp moves. During the match itself, early possession patterns, defensive mistakes, or goalkeeper performance can prompt rapid repricing if traders believe the opening goal is becoming more or less likely.