TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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PAOK
all
4 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
Limitless
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 23, 2026
Closed: Jul 23, 5:08 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This event group covers a UEFA Europa League match between FK Dynamo Kyiv and PAOK scheduled for July 23, 2026. Markets across four platforms (Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket, Predict) resolve based on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The group includes binary outcome markets for Dynamo Kyiv win, PAOK win, and draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is logically impossible: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Dynamo win, PAOK win, Draw) are stated to resolve YES. Additionally, cancellation/postponement handling diverges significantly across Polymarket, Predict, and Limitless, with asymmetric treatment of draw versus win markets.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets—they contain a logical contradiction that makes resolution impossible. On Polymarket and Predict, the draw market has opposite cancellation behavior (YES) compared to win markets (NO), creating basis risk. Limitless adds a September 21, 2026 deadline for rescheduled matches; any postponement beyond that date triggers YES for draw and NO for win markets. Confirm match status and rescheduling window with official UEFA sources before settlement.Critical divergence points:
- Kalshi: All three outcomes (Dynamo Kyiv win, PAOK win, Draw) are stated to resolve YES. This is logically impossible since only one outcome can occur. Quote: 'If Dynamo Kyiv wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If PAOK wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Dynamo win and PAOK win markets resolve NO if game is canceled entirely with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if canceled entirely with no make-up. Win markets remain open if postponed. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) vs. 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market).
- Predict: Identical to Polymarket: Dynamo and PAOK win markets resolve NO on full cancellation; draw market resolves YES on full cancellation. Win markets remain open if postponed. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) vs. 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market).
- Limitless: Adds a September 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC deadline. If match is canceled entirely before start or rescheduled after this deadline, draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO. If canceled during play, resolution is based on score at cancellation time. Quote: 'If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to NO' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve to YES' (draw market).
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, July 23, 2026 between FK Dynamo Kyiv and PAOK.
Kalshi
Resolution is based on the final result of the Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK Europa League match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on July 23, 2026, excluding extra time and penalties. Each outcome—Dynamo Kyiv victory, PAOK victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes based on the regulation time result. If the match ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with applicable rules.
Predict
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, July 23, 2026 between FK Dynamo Kyiv and PAOK.
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for July 23, 2026, 17:00 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus—prices emerge from buy and sell orders placed by participants risking real capital. This market-driven mechanism often produces sharper, less biased odds because traders have direct financial incentive to identify mispricing. Prediction market prices can move faster in response to breaking news, team updates, or injury reports, whereas sportsbooks may lag or impose limits on sharp action.
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and liquidity pools. Kalshi and Limitless may also have slightly different market designs—order-matching mechanics, minimum stakes, or promotional activity can all influence where prices settle. Additionally, traders on one venue may react faster to news than the other, creating temporary spreads. These gaps typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit them, but real-time divergence is normal and offers savvy traders opportunities to find value across venues.
Key injury announcements, team news, or lineup changes can shift odds significantly in the days before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any roster updates for either side will influence trader positioning. Weather conditions at the venue and any late-breaking tactical adjustments may also trigger repricing. Additionally, movement on related markets—such as total goals or individual player props—can cascade into the moneyline as traders adjust their overall exposure. Monitor official team communications and sports news outlets for catalysts that could reshape market expectations.