TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Dynama-Minsk and FK Sileks, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Dynama-Minsk" if FK Dynama-Minsk score more goals than FK Sileks in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Dynama-Minsk and FK Sileks score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Sileks" if FK Sileks score more goals than FK Dynama-Minsk in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK Dynama-Minsk and FK Sileks, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Dynama-Minsk" if FK Dynama-Minsk score more goals than FK Sileks in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Dynama-Minsk and FK Sileks score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Sileks" if FK Sileks score more goals than FK Dynama-Minsk in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market may price the second half outcome differently than traditional sports betting sites, sometimes offering sharper or more reactive pricing. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where informed traders see value. Neither is inherently more accurate, but the differences highlight how various groups assess the same event.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares that represent different second half outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate—higher prices mean traders view that outcome as more likely. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices adjust to new information. As match conditions evolve or news emerges, traders react by adjusting their positions, which moves the market price in real time. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the odds stay responsive to the latest developments.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score or result recorded by the relevant football authority. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate. Resolution happens automatically once the event is confirmed, and all positions settle according to the actual outcome. Traders should monitor the match closely as the resolution date approaches to adjust their positions if needed.
Several factors could shift odds before this market resolves. Early second half goals or tactical changes by either team will trigger immediate repricing as traders reassess win probability. Injuries to key players, red cards, or momentum swings during play typically cause sharp price moves. Pre-match news—such as lineup announcements or team form updates—can also influence sentiment before kickoff. Weather conditions, crowd dynamics, or unexpected referee decisions during the match may prompt traders to adjust positions. Close scorelines often see volatile trading as the outcome remains uncertain until the final whistle.