TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 3:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FK Dinamo Makhachkala and FK Lokomotiv Moskva, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Dinamo Makhachkala" if FK Dinamo Makhachkala are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Lokomotiv Moskva" if FK Lokomotiv Moskva are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FK Dinamo Makhachkala and FK Lokomotiv Moskva, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Dinamo Makhachkala" if FK Dinamo Makhachkala are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Lokomotiv Moskva" if FK Lokomotiv Moskva are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed opening odds. On this market, participants continuously adjust their positions based on team news, injury reports, and tactical analysis, whereas sportsbooks may lag behind breaking information. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at pricing late-breaking developments, though both venues ultimately converge toward the true probability once the event concludes. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment and professional oddsmakers disagree.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is represented as a separate contract, and the price of each reflects the cumulative bets placed on it relative to the total pool. As more traders buy or sell a particular outcome, its price adjusts automatically. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and trader conviction throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public reporting of the match result. Early resolution may occur if one team is eliminated or the match is abandoned before any goal is scored. Traders should monitor official match updates and team announcements leading up to kickoff to stay informed of any changes that could affect the final outcome.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to key attacking players, and tactical formation changes disclosed before kickoff. Weather conditions and pitch quality can also influence early-game dynamics and scoring patterns. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any last-minute roster adjustments will likely trigger repricing. Additionally, early match events such as an early yellow card, possession dominance, or a near-miss in the opening minutes often shift trader sentiment and move odds as the game unfolds.