TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 8:32 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Romania SuperLiga game between FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc and FCSB, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc" if FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc score more goals than FCSB in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc and FCSB score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FCSB" if FCSB score more goals than FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Romania SuperLiga game between FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc and FCSB, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc" if FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc score more goals than FCSB in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc and FCSB score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FCSB" if FCSB score more goals than FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from thousands of traders betting real capital on outcomes. This market's odds represent consensus from traders who profit or lose based on accuracy, creating a direct financial incentive for precision. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional oddsmakers and the crowd disagree on the second half's likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of shares outstanding and recent trade flow; as more traders buy a particular outcome, its price rises and implied probability increases. Prices update continuously throughout the trading day, allowing you to enter or exit positions at the prevailing rate. The spread between bid and ask prices narrows as volume grows, making it cheaper to trade when interest is high.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result recorded by the relevant football authorities. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges during the match. Resolution happens automatically once the event is finalized, and all positions settle according to the confirmed result.
Several factors may shift odds before the second half concludes. Early goals or red cards in the opening minutes could dramatically alter expectations for the final result. Injury news or tactical announcements from either team's coaching staff may prompt repricing. Momentum swings during live play—such as one side dominating possession or creating clear chances—typically trigger rapid trader responses. Weather conditions, crowd energy, and team morale visible during the first half also influence how traders assess the second half's likely outcome. Real-time match commentary and social media sentiment can amplify these moves.