TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC
Volume:
$905,628
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC match scheduled for February 26, 2026, in the Europa League. Polymarket offers three binary markets (draw, Crvena zvezda win, Lille win) while Kalshi offers four markets based on goal-margin thresholds (>1.5 and >2.5 goal wins for each team). All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use the same match outcome (90 minutes plus stoppage time) as the resolution basis, with consistent treatment of postponements and cancellations across win/draw/margin markets.
Primary resolution logic:
UEFA official match records and final scorelineCore resolution logic:
- Resolution occurs after the match concludes on February 26, 2026, based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all market resolutions
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game: Polymarket draw markets resolve Yes, win markets resolve No; Kalshi margin markets follow standard cancellation protocol
- Polymarket binary markets resolve: draw=Yes if tied, Crvena zvezda win=Yes if home team wins, Lille win=Yes if away team wins
- Kalshi margin markets resolve: Yes if the specified team wins by the stated goal margin (>1.5 or >2.5 goals)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the rescheduled match is played and completed
- Match Cancellation (No Reschedule): Polymarket resolves draw markets to Yes and win markets to No; Kalshi margin markets would not resolve under standard cancellation protocols
- Scope Boundary: All markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes on February 26, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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