TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 6:08 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FK Crvena zvezda and Larne FC, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Crvena zvezda" if FK Crvena zvezda score more goals than Larne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Crvena zvezda and Larne FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Larne FC" if Larne FC score more goals than FK Crvena zvezda in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FK Crvena zvezda and Larne FC, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Crvena zvezda" if FK Crvena zvezda score more goals than Larne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Crvena zvezda and Larne FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Larne FC" if Larne FC score more goals than FK Crvena zvezda in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the views of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market's odds may move faster or slower than sportsbook lines depending on new information, betting patterns, and the depth of trading activity. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome share trades at a price between 0 and 1, where the price directly represents the implied probability. As traders buy or sell shares, the price adjusts dynamically to reflect changing expectations. The top outcome currently reflects strong conviction among participants, and you can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score reported by the relevant football authorities. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automatic once the event data is confirmed and validated.
Several factors could shift odds before the match begins or during the first half. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp moves. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates can reshape trader expectations. Once the first half concludes, the scoreline and momentum will heavily influence second-half outcome probabilities. Live betting action during the match itself will drive continuous repricing as new information emerges, so early positions may look very different as kickoff approaches.