TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 10:20 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FK Chornomorets Odesa and FK Polissia, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Chornomorets Odesa" if FK Chornomorets Odesa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Polissia" if FK Polissia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FK Chornomorets Odesa and FK Polissia, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Chornomorets Odesa" if FK Chornomorets Odesa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Polissia" if FK Polissia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. In this market, you may notice prediction market prices shift more dynamically in response to breaking team news or injury reports, since traders can adjust positions instantly. Comparing the two can reveal where sharp bettors see value, though both reflect genuine probability estimates from informed participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1, representing the crowd's estimated likelihood that outcome will occur. As traders buy shares of a particular team scoring first, that outcome's price rises, and the opposing outcome's price falls. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays efficient and responsive to new information throughout the trading period.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal in regulation time. Resolution is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the match result. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares based on their expectations, with prices fluctuating as match conditions and team performance become clearer.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before kickoff and during play. Team news such as injuries to key attacking players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes can significantly alter scoring probability. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. Once the match begins, early possession, shot attempts, and goalkeeper performance will drive rapid repricing. Weather conditions and referee decisions may also affect how traders assess each team's attacking threat, causing price swings as the game unfolds.