TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 1:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between FK Bodø/Glimt and Fredrikstad FK, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Bodø/Glimt" if FK Bodø/Glimt score more goals than Fredrikstad FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Bodø/Glimt and Fredrikstad FK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fredrikstad FK" if Fredrikstad FK score more goals than FK Bodø/Glimt in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between FK Bodø/Glimt and Fredrikstad FK, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Bodø/Glimt" if FK Bodø/Glimt score more goals than Fredrikstad FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK Bodø/Glimt and Fredrikstad FK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fredrikstad FK" if Fredrikstad FK score more goals than FK Bodø/Glimt in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader conviction and capital allocation. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd on Polymarket sees value differently. Sharp bettors often use such gaps to identify mispriced outcomes, though both venues ultimately aim to forecast the same event.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost to purchase a share reflecting a second-half victory for either side moves continuously as the pool of capital shifts. Higher demand for one outcome raises its price and implied probability, while reduced interest lowers it. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects real-time consensus without requiring a traditional order book.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone, independent of the first-half scoreline. Resolution occurs after official confirmation from the league or match broadcaster, ensuring accuracy before traders receive their payouts. Early closure or postponement would be handled according to Polymarket's standard event rules.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—can shift odds significantly. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if one side dominates early, traders may reprrice the second-half outcome based on momentum, fatigue, and tactical adjustments. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and red cards during the first half also influence expectations for the remainder. Late-breaking injury reports or unexpected managerial decisions in the halftime break can trigger sharp repricing as new information reaches the market.