TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 8:47 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK BATE Barysaŭ and FC Sion, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK BATE Barysaŭ" if FK BATE Barysaŭ score more goals than FC Sion in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK BATE Barysaŭ and FC Sion score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Sion" if FC Sion score more goals than FK BATE Barysaŭ in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK BATE Barysaŭ and FC Sion, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK BATE Barysaŭ" if FK BATE Barysaŭ score more goals than FC Sion in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK BATE Barysaŭ and FC Sion score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Sion" if FC Sion score more goals than FK BATE Barysaŭ in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and risk management, while prediction markets derive prices from real-time trader demand and supply. In this market, the implied probability may differ from what conventional oddsmakers offer, sometimes by meaningful margins. These differences create arbitrage opportunities for sharp bettors who spot mispricings. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated competitive accuracy against sportsbook consensus, particularly in niche or less-liquid matchups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of shares outstanding and recent trading activity. As traders accumulate positions, the price adjusts dynamically to balance supply and demand. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and sentiment shifts throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the second-half result is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match record and the goals or events that occur specifically in the second half of play. Resolution occurs after the fixture concludes and the result is confirmed through standard sports reporting channels. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure they understand the exact criteria and timing.
Several factors may shift prices in this market before resolution. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can alter perceived strength in the second half. Pre-match analysis, expert predictions, and betting patterns from other venues may influence trader positioning. Early first-half performance and momentum could reshape expectations for how the second half unfolds. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and historical head-to-head trends may also prompt repricing. As the match approaches, real-time developments and social sentiment can trigger sharp moves in implied probability.