TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 5:09 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK BATE Barysaŭ and FC Sion, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK BATE Barysaŭ vs. FC Sion match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK BATE Barysaŭ and FC Sion, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK BATE Barysaŭ vs. FC Sion match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. For this matchup, comparing the implied probabilities from this market against major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether traders see value the books have missed or vice versa. Neither source is inherently more accurate, but the comparison highlights where consensus breaks down.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time odds for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction, with pricing updated continuously as new positions enter the book. Traders can buy or sell shares in any scoreline at the displayed price, and the cost of each share moves based on cumulative demand, creating a dynamic price discovery mechanism.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time, with no ambiguity about which exact score outcome has occurred. Traders holding shares in the correct final score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. The resolution process is straightforward: the final whistle score is the only input that matters.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter trader expectations for the likely scoreline. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence how traders reassess the probability of high-scoring versus low-scoring outcomes. As game time nears, late-breaking information about player availability or venue factors often triggers sharp repricing. Live betting sentiment and early-match momentum can also shift positions in the final hours before kickoff.