TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK BATE Barysaŭ and AF Elbasani, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK BATE Barysaŭ" if FK BATE Barysaŭ score more goals than AF Elbasani in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK BATE Barysaŭ and AF Elbasani score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AF Elbasani" if AF Elbasani score more goals than FK BATE Barysaŭ in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FK BATE Barysaŭ and AF Elbasani, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK BATE Barysaŭ" if FK BATE Barysaŭ score more goals than AF Elbasani in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FK BATE Barysaŭ and AF Elbasani score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AF Elbasani" if AF Elbasani score more goals than FK BATE Barysaŭ in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets let traders freely set prices based on their collective belief about outcomes. This market aggregates the views of many independent participants, which can sometimes surface information or consensus that sportsbooks have not yet fully priced in. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion on the second half result differs most sharply from traditional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one possible result, and the price of each share reflects the collective confidence of all participants. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. The market's price discovery process is continuous and transparent, allowing you to see exactly what the crowd believes about the second half outcome at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match between BATE Barysaŭ and Elbasani concludes and the second half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect which team won during the second half, or whether the period ended in a draw. Resolution depends on the final confirmed score for that half, as documented by official match records and reliable sports news sources. Traders should monitor the fixture schedule to ensure they close or settle positions before the resolution window closes.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before resolution. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp moves. Early first-half momentum and scoreline can reshape expectations for the second half, especially if one side builds a commanding lead or falls behind. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates may also influence trader positioning. As the match progresses and the first half unfolds, real-time events will likely drive repricing as participants update their beliefs about what the second half will deliver.