TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FK BATE Barysaŭ and AF Elbasani, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK BATE Barysaŭ" if FK BATE Barysaŭ are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AF Elbasani" if AF Elbasani are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FK BATE Barysaŭ and AF Elbasani, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK BATE Barysaŭ" if FK BATE Barysaŭ are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AF Elbasani" if AF Elbasani are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they aggregate trader sentiment in real time rather than reflecting a bookmaker's fixed margin. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets move based on supply and demand from thousands of independent participants. For this event, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook odds can reveal where traders and bookmakers disagree on the likelihood of each team scoring first, potentially signaling value or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the share price reflecting the market's implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome moves continuously as new trades execute, creating a dynamic equilibrium that balances bullish and bearish positions. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, so periods of high activity can accelerate repricing around team news or lineup announcements.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match concludes and the opening goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores first during regular play, confirmed against credible public sources including official match records and major sports reporting. Early resolution may occur if one team is eliminated or the match is abandoned under governing body rules, though standard completion follows the final whistle.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to key attacking or defensive players, and recent form trends in both sides' offensive output. Tactical shifts, managerial statements, and head-to-head historical patterns can also shift trader positioning. Weather conditions and venue factors reported closer to kickoff may influence scoring likelihood, as can any late-breaking news affecting team confidence or player availability. Trading volume typically spikes in the final hours before the match begins.